Some say that if you can’t measure something, you’re not doing science. Bayesian logic offers a way to measure things that were previously unmeasurable, allowing us to test hypotheses and predictions ...

“There are three kinds of lies,” Mark Twain famously wrote. “Lies, damned lies, and statistics.” But in the lively and engaging Everything is Predictable, science writer Tom Chivers seeks to lift the ...

Politicians are often accused of "flip-flopping" when they change their minds about a policy that they once supported. Is this such a bad thing? As we learn more and more about COVID-19, public health ...

When Bob flips a coin and announces the result, what can we really know about which coin he chose? This video builds probability trees to reveal how new evidence systematically updates our beliefs, ...