Vanderbilt, Houston and Miami might have just seen their College Football Playoff hopes come crashing down on Saturday.

SMU is currently 5–3, and sits in a four-way tie for fourth place in the ACC. The Mustangs gave coach Rhett Lashlee a contract extensio n Friday, and it paid off quickly with a win over his former team.

Miami entered Saturday's game with a 46.4 percent chance to make the playoff per ESPN's FPI, so the Canes were already on shaky ground. Although the Canes' two losses to Louisville and SMU were to teams with winning records, neither of them were ranked.

Miami was upset on the road by SMU, whose fans rushed the field. Do the Mustangs owe the Hurricanes for storming the field?

The Mustangs pull of a big home upset that puts the Hurricanes’ College Football Playoff aspirations in jeopardy.

College football Week 10 odds, picks, predictions, TV channel, streaming for Miami Hurricanes vs SMU Mustangs ACC game on Saturday, Nov. 1, 2025.

Miami is a respectable 24-7 in August through October under fourth-year coach Mario Cristobal. But when the calendar flips to November, problems mount. That was the story again Saturday, when the No. 10 Hurricanes fell 26-20 in overtime at SMU, dropping the Hurricanes to 4-11 in Novembe r and December under Cristobal's direction.

College football analyst Danny Kanell commented on Miami's chances of reaching the College Football Playoff as a 2-loss team.

ESPN’s FPI metrics ranked all 17 teams in the ACC after Week 9 of college football and they have been shifted! As we turn the calendar to November, things are heating up!